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Friday, December 27, 2024

Opinion | An Eight-Day Space Mission Turned Into Six Months. Astronauts Are Built Different. - The New York Times

How Would You Do if You Went to Space for Eight Days and Were Gone Six Months?

Sunita Williams and Butch Wilmore, posing in spacesuits, with their helmets off.
Illustration by The New York Times

By Ido Mizrahy

"Ido Mizrahy is a filmmaker based in New York and the director of the documentary “Space: The Longest Goodbye.”

Most of us would panic if we were stranded in space without a firm return date. But Sunita Williams and Butch Wilmore aren’t like most of us.

Ms. Williams and Mr. Wilmore, two NASA astronauts, left for the International Space Station on June 5 for what was intended to be an eight-day mission. They have now spent six months and counting in space. Technical issues on their spacecraft, involving thruster malfunctions and helium leaks in the propulsion system, rendered its return ride too risky for human flight. Last week NASA announced that the retrieval mission — originally set for February — is again up in the air.

And yet I suspect that Ms. Williams and Mr. Wilmore aren’t about to lose their cool, even with this latest twist in plans. When I spoke to them at a news conference in September, they seemed remarkably at ease with the situation. These trials “make you stronger,” he said, even as he described missing his youngest daughter’s senior year of high school.

For decades, NASA has been working hard to identify and mitigate the countless hazards that might emerge during crewed missions to deep space. But as space missions get longer, the protagonists of these journeys are one thing that cannot be precisely assessed. Their vulnerabilities, terrestrial needs and ability to live together in small spaces for years are only a few of the considerations that make up what the agency calls the human factor of spaceflight.

Ms. Williams and Mr. Wilmore’s predicament, as unfortunate and troubling as it is, serves as an important test for the space agency’s efforts. How well the two are able to adapt to their changing circumstances will reflect not only their own mettle but also NASA’s ability to select astronauts who can handle this type of unexpected setback. The future of interplanetary space exploration — by NASA, other countries and private companies like SpaceX — will depend on astronauts adjusting to wildly unpredictable circumstances like these.

For a long time, NASA’s strong engineering culture gave little thought to the psychological challenges facing the humans inside its precisely designed spacecrafts. (“These soft, squishy humans are completely unfathomable to engineers,” Jack Stuster, an anthropologist who studied life on the International Space Station, once told me.) The Soviet Union’s launch in 1986 of Mir, the first modular low-Earth-orbit space station, transformed that mind-set. Suddenly astronauts not only flew to space but also had to live in space for long periods. A Mir-stationed astronaut in 1995 described his extreme isolation, warning that he might not “make it” if his mission got extended to six months.

Around that same time, a small group of psychologists known as the behavioral health and performance unit, was quietly assembled in the bowels of NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston. Focused on long-duration missions to the soon-to-be-deployed International Space Station, the unit was tasked with maintaining astronauts’ mental stability during the separation from their terrestrial lives.

The psychologists quickly realized how tricky it would be to persuade the astronauts to open up to them. These were high achievers — graduates of elite schools who went on to become decorated combat and Navy officers. Why would they risk their chance to go to space by admitting their fears?

But individuals need to be prepared for the countless events that will unfold while away from Earth. Births, graduations, breakups. Sometimes these events are unexpected, even devastating. Take six months on the space station that I examined for a documentary film project. During that time, from December 2010 to May 2011, one astronaut’s mother died unexpectedly; Representative Gabrielle Giffords, the sister-in-law of Scott Kelly, a mission commander, was shot; and a tsunami devastated Japan as crew members watched.

To help astronauts manage the stress caused by the intense separation, during these monumental moments, NASA’s psychologists have made great efforts to gain their trust and even began to take on an extraordinarily familial role in their lives. NASA filmed one astronaut’s wife when she gave birth while he was in space. The agency orchestrated a wedding between an astronaut stationed in orbit and his Houston-based fiancée.

As NASA prepares for longer and deeper space missions, to the moon and eventually Mars, real-time communication will no longer be possible. The risk for technical malfunctions and the length of these missions — a trip to Mars and back would take about three years — could amplify the astronauts’ sense of being disconnected from loved ones. During a Mars mission, there could be a total loss of communication, Dr. Al Holland, a NASA psychologist, told me, adding, “You have to prepare for the worst-case scenario.”

In an attempt to predict the psychological pitfalls, the Johnson Space Center has transformed into the world’s largest isolation laboratory. It has placed mock astronauts in Mars-like habitats for a whole year, studied journals of seamen stranded near the South Pole in the early 1900s and deployed artificial intelligence companions to keep lonely astronauts company. Most important, it has started looking for astronaut candidates who can withstand the mental strain of prolonged isolation.

Aside from an innate desire to explore, the qualities NASA now screens for paint a very different portrait from the daredevils of years past. Gone are the larger-than-life test pilots who were perfectly tailored for dangerous, short missions; they are now replaced with a humble, even-tempered group of team players who are expected to communicate well and have good judgment. NASA psychologists conduct long interviews with the final astronaut candidates and observe how they interact with other candidates. They screen for the ones who seem most driven by wanting to learn about others, the world and themselves. It is the search for the imperfect astronaut, one who understands that when astronauts fail in space — which happens often — they can ask for help and should.

On a three-year mission to Mars, crew members will become the astronauts’ new family; the spacecraft and habitat, their new home. The ability to evolve in this way, to assume a temporary new life, makes this new breed of astronauts seem that much more human. Like so many of us immigrants, they go through the same patterns of uprooting themselves and learning to adapt. As Ms. Williams and Mr. Wilmore are showing us, they will thrive. She said it best at the September news conference while he was joyfully spinning next to her: “This is my happy place.”

Opinion | An Eight-Day Space Mission Turned Into Six Months. Astronauts Are Built Different. - The New York Times

Thursday, December 26, 2024

CANON R1 vs SONY a1 II AUTOFOCUS REVIEW: We Have A Winner?!

How to buy used tech to save money and help the planet - The Washington Post

Why your new phone should be a used one

An employee works on smartphones reconditioning at a refurbishing company subcontractor. (Loic Venance/AFP/Getty Images)

"If you’re thinking of buying a new phone, laptop or smartwatch, getting refurbished technology could save you money and help the planet.

“The biggest thing that people will see right away is just that things are cheaper and yet they have all the same functionality as something that’s new,” said Lucas Gutterman, director of the Designed to Last Campaign at U.S. PIRG Education Fund, a nonpartisan consumer advocacy group.

And, he added, “Keeping something working for much longer is going to have huge environmental savings over manufacturing something new.”

Here’s what you need to know about buying refurbished devices.

Why should you buy refurbished?

Refurbished technology usually refers to used devices that go through a professional inspection process to ensure they function like new, though the exact definition varies by retailers (more on this below). If you’re buying devices described only as “used” or “secondhand,” that often means you’re getting the technology in “as-is” condition.

These electronics can generally cost about 15 to 20 percent less than buying new, with an additional 10 percent off each year since the item was originally sold, according to PIRG. That means a three-year-old tablet could be roughly half the price of the newest model of the same technology.

Not buying new technology also comes with climate and environmental benefits. Getting a refurbished smartphone, for instance, could have roughly between 80 to 90 percent less of an impact on the environment than purchasing a new device, according to a 2022 reportpublished by Équiterre, a Canadian environmental nonprofit. Opting for a refurbished smartphone could avoid the extraction of about 180 pounds of resources and roughly 50 pounds of planet-warming emissions, the report found.

Using electronics for longer also keeps devices from joining the growing stream of e-wastethat winds up in landfills.

Should you be concerned about quality?

While buying secondhand electronics has become more popular, there can still be a “trust gap” among potential customers, said Lauren Benton, U.S. general manager of Back Market, a global refurbished marketplace based in Paris.

Benton likened the growing refurbished technology market to used cars, noting that devices sold by verified retailers are typically subjected to rigorous multistep quality testing and grading.

“This is not a device missing a button or that’s going to have a known defect,” she said.

But before you buy, here are some tips for how you can assess your options.

Find trusted retailers. “As long as you’re buying from a certified refurbished program, folks should expect to get something that is perfectly functional and save a lot of money and protect the environment,” Gutterman said.

PIRG recommends retailers specializing in refurbished products such as Back Market, Gazelle, VIP Outlet and Decluttr. Original manufacturers can be another source, though PIRG notes that this option is often the most expensive. Other major retailers, such as Amazon, Best Buy and Walmart, also sell refurbished technology.

Know what you want and look for devices that are made to last and can be repaired. “Buying stuff that is already repairable, that is already designed to last, that is going to be the best choice,” Gutterman said.

Research the make and model of what you’re interested in buying. There are online resources tracking and scoring durability and how repairable the technology is. Be wary of buying items using software that is no longer supported or more fragile technology, such as flat-screen TVs or large desktop monitors, which could have a higher chance of damage, Gutterman said. Printers can also be tricky because ink and toner can build up inside and can be difficult to fully clean out. You should also avoid items with batteries that can’t be replaced.

Read the fine print. There are many terms used to describe the condition of these products, such as “open box,” “like new” or “refurbished.”

“Unfortunately those can just mean very different things,” Gutterman said. Carefully read through retailer websites to know what their inspection process is and what they mean when they use these different terms.

Be realistic about the price. Know when the model came out because prices for refurbished items are often set by the year the product was released, according to PIRG. Make sure you take the time to compare products and prices.

“If it’s too good to be true, and it’s not a marketplace that’s dedicated to this space, be careful,” Benton said. “There are absolutely fraudulent devices that are out there.”

Assess return and warranty policies. Many legitimate refurbishers should offer a minimum 30-day return window and a warranty of at least 90 days, Gutterman said.

What should you do after you buy?

Check your item immediately, Gutterman said. Make sure it turns on, all the features are working and it’s in the proper condition.

If you’re replacing one of your old items, don’t throw it out right away or abandon it in a drawer, Benton said. Oftentimes, the device you’re upgrading from still works.

“Trade it in as soon as you’re not using it anymore,” she said, noting that these programs typically offer cash in return. “You need to get that device back out there to optimize its value, to optimize the life that it has.”

How to buy used tech to save money and help the planet - The Washington Post

How A.I. Could Reshape the Economic Geography of America - The New York Times

How A.I. Could Reshape the Economic Geography of America

"As the technology is widely adopted, some once-struggling midsize cities in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and South may benefit, new research predicts.

The Tennessee River passing through Chattanooga.Whitten Sabbatini for The New York Times

By Steve Lohr

Steve Lohr has covered the way tech is reshaping the work force for more than a decade.

Chattanooga, Tenn., a midsize Southern city, is on no one’s list of artificial intelligence hot spots.

But as the technology’s use moves beyond a few big city hubs and is more widely adopted across the economy, Chattanooga and other once-struggling cities in the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and South are poised to be among the unlikely winners, a recent study found.

The shared attributes of these metropolitan areas include an educated work force, affordable housing and workers who are mostly in occupations and industries less likely to be replaced or disrupted by A.I., according to the study by two labor economists, Scott Abrahams, an assistant professor at Louisiana State University, and Frank Levy, a professor emeritus at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. These cities are well positioned to use A.I. to become more productive, helping to draw more people to those areas.

The study is part of a growing body of research pointing to the potential for chatbot-style artificial intelligence to fuel a reshaping of the population and labor market map of America. A.I.’s transformative force could change the nation’s economy and politics, much like other technological revolutions.

“This is a powerful technology that will sweep through American offices with potentially very significant geographic implications,” said Mark Muro, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, where he studies the regional effects of technology and government policy. “We need to think about what’s coming down the pike.”

At issue is a new and rapidly growing breed of the technology known as generative A.I., which can quickly draft business reports, write software and answer questions, often with human-level skill. Already, predictions abound that generative A.I. will displace workers in call centers, software developers and business analysts.

That pattern of technology disruption has happened before. The industrial revolution mechanized agriculture, pushing workers off farms and into cities. Modern cars and roads brought the rise of the suburbs in the 1950s and 1960s. Factory automation and globalization, accelerated by the internet, destroyed jobs in traditional manufacturing centers, depopulating parts of the Midwest and South.

While uncertainty remains about how fast and how far into workplaces generative A.I. will reach, a series of studies have concluded that the impact is likely to be substantial, perhaps automating the equivalent of millions of jobs.

To date, the regions benefiting the most from the rapidly progressing technology have been a handful of metro areas where scientists are building A.I., including Silicon Valley.

But those places are also some of the ones most apt to face issues as A.I. gets better and can automate jobs, according to the labor economists’ study. Centers of technology and office work including San Jose, San Francisco, Washington, New York and Boston are home to large numbers of high-paid workers, from business analysts to computer programmers, whose tasks involve generating words or code, which is what A.I. does well.

But exposure to A.I. does not necessarily translate to sweeping job losses. These cities, the economists note, have proved to be among the most resilient, dynamic places in the country, able to withstand setbacks and recover.

In their paper, the two labor economists identified nearly two dozen metropolitan areas expected to benefit from the broader adoption of A.I. technology, including Dayton, Ohio; Scranton, Pa.; Savannah, Ga.; and Greenville, S.C.

Chattanooga is already attracting technology-enabled businesses and workers.

Evan Shelley, wearing a blue jacket, a black T-shirt and beige pants, stands with one hand leaning on the trunk of a yellow car.
Evan Shelley describes his start-up, Truck Parking Club, as “Airbnb for truck parking.”Whitten Sabbatini for The New York Times

Evan Shelley moved to Chattanooga from Miami last year, bringing his start-up with him. He describes Truck Parking Club, his two-year-old business, as “Airbnb for truck parking.” It links tens of thousands of long-haul truckers to more than 1,100 parking locations around the country — sites ranging in size from a few parking spaces to hundreds.

Mr. Shelley, 30, said Chattanooga’s cluster of trucking companies, freight brokers, shippers and transportation tech companies “just makes a ton of sense for us.” He has fostered relationships with expert advisers in town, and Chattanooga’s amenities for start-ups include modern co-working spaces, very fast internet service and access to investors, he said.

Most customer service is now handled by phone and staffed by former truck drivers. Their expertise, Mr. Shelley said, is a crucial asset and a selling point. But the start-up is developing generative A.I. for its mobile app to answer basic questions and to assist its customer service workers.

Chattanooga’s city-owned utility, EPB, has been a tech pioneer, offering some of the world’s fastest internet service for more than a decade, and it remains an innovative leader. Last year, EPB began offering a commercially available quantum network to let businesses and scientists experiment with the emerging technology of quantum computing.

The city government is experimenting with chatbot technology, training the A.I. on the text of its local laws, regulations and ordinances. The software will answer questions or operate as a conversational assistant to walk citizens through tasks like getting a business license.

“We’re trying to prepare our people for working with A.I., focus on the benefits and make the most of it,” said Tim Kelly, the mayor of Chattanooga.

Chattanooga has nurtured other start-ups in logistics, shipping and trucking, taking advantage of its location in “Freight Alley,” connected by interstate highways to Atlanta; Nashville; Knoxville, Tenn.; and Birmingham, Ala.

Truck Parking Club links tens of thousands of long-haul truckers to more than 1,100 parking locations around the country.Whitten Sabbatini for The New York Times

Shappi, a start-up shipping consumer goods to South America, moved to Chattanooga from San Diego two years ago, in part thanks to investors in the area. Shappi operates an online marketplace connecting shipments with travelers who carry the goods in their luggage, for a fee.

The company employs 26 people to create the custom-designed image recognition and data-collection technology for classifying goods and arranging deliveries.

Karla Valdivieso, right, and her Shappi co-founder, C.J. Valdivieso. Shappi, an online marketplace that connects shipments with travelers who carry the goods in their luggage, moved from San Diego to Chattanooga two years ago.Whitten Sabbatini for The New York Times

Karla Valdivieso, co-founder and chief executive, said it was easier to recruit people to a start-up in Chattanooga. She cited an ample pool of educated workers and affordable housing — two of the key characteristics identified in the study for cities picked as potential winners in the rollout of A.I.

Shappi's AI Stage. The company employs 26 people to create the custom-designed image recognition and data-collection technology for classifying goods and arranging deliveries.Whitten Sabbatini for The New York Times
A FedEx driver delivering packages to Shappi’s headquarters in Chattanooga.Whitten Sabbatini for The New York Times

Shappi has adopted some generative A.I. technology in its customer service operations to help its staff answer questions faster and more accurately.

“We’ve used it to make our people more effective,” Ms. Valdivieso said. “I’m always open to more technology, but it’s not there yet. It’s going to be A.I. plus humans for the foreseeable future.”

Steve Lohr writes about technology and its impact on the economy, jobs and the workplace.More about Steve Lohr"

How A.I. Could Reshape the Economic Geography of America - The New York Times